Sunday, July 24, 2016

Is "Incirlik" Turkish for "cauldron"?

Debka File says Incirlik Crisis is Ongoing

I haven't gone to Debka file website for a long time but believe they're an Israeli military website.  In any case...they're the only site with a fairly recent update on the Incirlik Air Base crisis. Their report which I will copy in its entirity dates July 20, 2016 (four days ago) but was printed just today in

Here is the Debka report on Incirlik with its original grammar and spelling...and I will have my comments to follow:

DEBKAfile — July 20, 2016

Some 1,500 US airmen and their families have been locked in the southern Turkish air base of Incirlik together with a stock if tactical nuclear bombs since President Reccep Erdogan crushed an attempted coup on Saturday, July 16. In the four days up until Wednesday, July 20, therefore, no air strikes against ISIS in Syria and Iraq have been staged that Turkish base.This extraordinary situation, reported here by debkafile’s military sources, whereby a large group of American military personnel are held virtual captive by an allied government, was almost certainly raised in the phone call that took place Tuesday between President Barack Obama and Erdogan.  But the most outlandish aspect of this affair is that no American official has raised it in public – nor even by the administrations most vocal critics at the Republican convention which nominated Donald Trump as presidential candidate.The situation only rated a brief mention in some Russian publications under the heading: “Turkish investigators enter & search Incirlik air base where US nukes are housed.”Our military sources report that deep bunkers located near the base’s running strips house B61 tactical nuclear gravity bombs.In the course of the massive sweep-cum-purge Erdogan is conducting in every corner of the country, hundreds of police officers accompanied by Ministry of Justice and Attorney General Office investigators are the only people permitted to enter the strategic air base, and only emergency cases may leave, after coordinating with the Turkish authorities.The base is under virtual siege by large police contingents, cut off from electric power for several days except for local generators which will soon run out of fuel. This pressure appears to be Erdogan’s method of turning hundreds of Americans on the base into hostages to force Washington into extraditing Fethullah Gulen, whom he accuses of orchestrating the failed coup from his place of asylum in Pennsylvania.The victims of Erdogan’s strategy of extortion are several US units deployed in Incirlik under squadron command. They include engineering, communication, logistics, air control, a military hospital with medical and operational facilities, air transportation and more.The Turkish squadron and base commander, Brigadier Gen. Bekir Ercan, is under arrest, suspected of a senior role in planning and executing the coup, by assigning the aircraft and helicopters to support it, responsibility for the disappearance of a large number of aircraft and aiding the defection of air crews to Greece.He is one of the more than 6,000 military personnel including fellow generals arrested on suspicion of active complicity in the coup plot.By Wednesday, more than 50,000 people had been rounded up, sacked or suspended from their jobs by Turkey’s government in the wake of last week’s failed coup, including 9,000 police officers, the suspension of about 3,000 judges and widening Tuesday to include teachers, university deans and the media who are accused of links with Gulen.However, fears for the fate of the US airmen trapped in Incirlik and the tactical nukes were exacerbated by the comments of two top officials of the Erdogan regime Tuesday.Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim insinuated that the Americans may be viewed as partners, at least passive ones, in the conspiracy, in view of the use the plotters made of Incirlik for sending aircraft based there and arming them for the missions of intercepting the President’s airplane (which was never realized) and  bombing the Parliament building in Ankara (which was).The Turkish Labor Minister, Süleyman Soylu, was more explicit: “This coup has America behind,” he twitted in his Twitter account.he Obama administration’s caution over the scary Incirlik impasse appears to derive from trepidation, shared by Riyadh, Cairo and Jerusalem, that the autocratic Turkish ruler’s Stalinist purge reaching into all branches of government and all walks of Turkish society is part and parcel of a comprehensive Muslim revolution underway in Turkey. An incautious word from Washington may quicken the process.

Now...I'm gonna go waaaaaay out on a limb here and say that the US soldiers and their nukes are being held in what the Russian military call a "cauldron" (trapped) similar to the way the Ukrainian army was held in a "cauldron" in the Donbass a year or more ago now. In that instance, it was Putin who was behind the strategy to trap the soldiers....and it was Putin who personally "freed" the Ukrainian soldiers through negotiation and agreement.

I'm gonna speculate that it's the same case here. Let's be frank. Erdogan/Turkey would NOT be taking such a strong stand against the US/NATO if it didn't have some VERY powerful pals covering its back. It would never dare to get the US's Pentagon knickers in a Incirlik has accomplished. IMO, Erdogan would not even be alive today if it weren't for the protection of Russia...and I have already speculated that the two "protecting" jets that flew beside Erdogan's plane when he was escaping the coupmeisters were Russian jets. That's why, although the coupmeister jets had Erdogan's plane in their crosshairs...they dared not shoot.

So I believe Putin/Russia is propping up Erdogan in his ongoing (although totally ignored in the Mainstream Media due to its extremely volatile and incendiary nature) maintainence of the Incirlik cauldron that is holding the US soldiers and their nukes "hostage". After all....who were the nukes going to be used against? Who has a very good reason to get them removed? How will they be removed and how will the crisis be diffused? Same as the Donbass crisis...hopefully...through negotiation and agreement.

Finally, to answer my own question:  Is "Incirlik" Turkish for "cauldron"?  Not Yet....but a few years when history has a chance to tell the story.

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